Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000699 0.000795 0.000896 0.001010 0.001136 0.001269 0.001422
2025-09-21 0.000543 0.000674 0.000821 0.000999 0.001206 0.001439 0.001719
2025-09-28 0.000453 0.000597 0.000767 0.000980 0.001239 0.001540 0.001914
2025-10-05 0.000405 0.000563 0.000756 0.001007 0.001321 0.001696 0.002174
2025-10-12 0.000365 0.000530 0.000741 0.001023 0.001386 0.001830 0.002408
2025-10-19 0.000321 0.000489 0.000710 0.001015 0.001416 0.001919 0.002586
2025-10-26 0.000284 0.000453 0.000681 0.001005 0.001441 0.001998 0.002752
2025-11-02 0.000259 0.000430 0.000667 0.001013 0.001488 0.002106 0.002955
2025-11-09 0.000234 0.000404 0.000649 0.001011 0.001521 0.002195 0.003134
2025-11-16 0.000204 0.000368 0.000611 0.000981 0.001511 0.002225 0.003236
2025-11-23 0.000180 0.000339 0.000581 0.000958 0.001510 0.002265 0.003349
2025-11-30 0.000163 0.000320 0.000564 0.000953 0.001533 0.002338 0.003507
2025-12-07 0.000148 0.000302 0.000549 0.000951 0.001561 0.002419 0.003681
2025-12-14 0.000133 0.000282 0.000529 0.000940 0.001574 0.002479 0.003827
2025-12-21 0.000118 0.000262 0.000507 0.000923 0.001576 0.002523 0.003950
2025-12-28 0.000113 0.000258 0.000511 0.000948 0.001644 0.002662 0.004210
2026-01-04 0.000106 0.000251 0.000510 0.000964 0.001697 0.002781 0.004443
2026-01-11 0.000096 0.000237 0.000494 0.000956 0.001712 0.002844 0.004597
2026-01-18 0.000087 0.000223 0.000479 0.000946 0.001723 0.002901 0.004742
2026-01-25 0.000081 0.000215 0.000474 0.000954 0.001762 0.003000 0.004951
2026-02-01 0.000074 0.000206 0.000464 0.000952 0.001787 0.003077 0.005129
2026-02-08 0.000065 0.000189 0.000439 0.000923 0.001764 0.003081 0.005196
2026-02-15 0.000057 0.000175 0.000419 0.000902 0.001752 0.003100 0.005287